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Practical operation strategies for pumped hydroelectric energy storage (PHES) utilising electricity price arbitrage

机译:利用电价套利的抽水蓄能(pHEs)实用运行策略

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摘要

In this paper, three practical operation strategies (24Optimal, 24Prognostic, and 24Hsitrocial) are compared to the optimum profit feasible for a PHES facility with a 360 MW pump, 300 MW turbine, and a 2 GWh storage utilising price arbitrage on 13 electricity spot markets. The results indicate that almost all (not, vert, similar97%) of the profits can be obtained by a PHES facility when it is optimised using the 24Optimal strategy developed, which optimises the energy storage based on the day-ahead electricity prices. However, to maximise profits with the 24Optimal strategy, the day-ahead electricity prices must be the actual prices which the PHES facility is charged or the PHES operator must have very accurate price predictions. Otherwise, the predicted profit could be significantly reduced and even become a loss. Finally, using the 24Optimal strategy, the PHES profit can surpass the annual investment repayments required. However, over the 5-year period investigated (2005–2009) the annual profit from the PHES facility varied by more than 50% on five out of six electricity markets considered. Considering the 40-year lifetime of PHES, even with low investment costs, a low interest rate, and a suitable electricity market, PHES is a risky investment without a more predictable profit.
机译:在本文中,将三种实际操作策略(24Optimal,24Prognostic和24Hsitrocial)与具有360 MW泵,300 MW涡轮机和2 GWh储能的PHES设施在13个现货市场上利用价格套利的PHES设施的最佳利润进行了比较。 。结果表明,使用开发的24Optimal策略优化PHES设施时,几乎可以从PHES设施中获得全部(而非类似的利润)97%,该战略根据日前的电价优化储能。但是,要使用24Optimal策略最大化利润,日间电价必须是PHES设施所收取的实际价格,或者PHES运营商必须具有非常准确的价格预测。否则,预期利润可能会大大减少,甚至会变成亏损。最后,使用24Optimal策略,PHES的利润可以超过所需的年度投资回报。但是,在所调查的5年中(2005-2009年),在所考虑的六个电力市场中,五个电力市场中,PHES设施的年利润变化超过50%。考虑到PHES的40年使用寿命,即使投资成本低,利率低且电力市场合适,PHES也是一项风险较大的投资,而利润却无法预测。

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